‘The world has changed’: U. political science professor analyzes Putin’s next moves in Ukraine

A Ukrainian serviceman holds a rocket-propelled grenade launcher at preventing positions exterior town of Kharkiv, Ukraine on Thursday. As Russian troops intensify their assault on Ukraine and its individuals, it is troublesome to find out what’s going to occur subsequent. (Maksim Levin, Reuters)

Estimated learn time: 2-3 minutes

SALT LAKE CITY — As Russian troops intensify their assault on Ukraine and its individuals, it is troublesome to find out what’s going to occur subsequent. Occupation presents long-term challenges for Russia, and a political science professor from the College of Utah stated the Ukrainians have fought for his or her independence earlier than.

“Ukraine has a practice of preventing for its independence,” stated political science professor Marjorie Fortress, who has studied that a part of the world for a number of a long time.

She stated the worldwide political order has been comparatively secure in Japanese Europe over the past 50 plus years. Now, it has been fractured in a matter of days. The Russian invasion of Ukraine dramatically, and shortly, modified the regional steadiness of energy. Fortress believes uncertainty is as excessive as it has been in a very long time.

“We do not know what Putin’s plans for Ukraine are,” she stated.

It stays unclear how a lot of the nation Russian President Vladimir Putin intends to regulate.

“It appears sadly sure that he could also be planning to arrange a puppet regime,” Fortress stated.

The political science professor characterised that as a miserable and darkish risk, “given Ukraine’s dimension, given its significance, given Ukraine’s hard-won democracy,” she stated.

Regardless of Russia’s army may, Fortress factors out that occupying a neighboring nation is sophisticated and costly. If there are Ukrainians prepared to assist Putin set up a regime, it might be less expensive politically and financially.

“If that seems to be troublesome, then I believe that he’s going to have a really laborious, lengthy, costly slog with it,” she stated.

Fortress cited a current survey of Ukrainians that exhibits practically 60% are prepared to personally, actively resist a Russian invasion.

We can’t assume that Putin goals to rebuild the Soviet Union. However, the invasion of Ukraine raises that query.

“I agree that he does not wish to reassemble the Soviet Union,” Fortress stated. “However, his imaginative and prescient of Russian safety, Russian prosperity, Russia taking the place that it ought to take on the earth requires dominating its neighbors.”

Which leaves the U.S. and its allies very nervous.

“The world has modified, and we’re dealing with a big quantity of uncertainty, each about what’s going to occur in Ukraine, and concerning the worldwide order.”

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